Walk Like a Sabermetrician

Occasional commentary on baseball and sabermetrics

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 2: Revamping the Variance Estimate

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All models are approximations of reality, but some are more useful than others. The notion of being able to estimate the runs per game dist...
Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 1: Pioneers

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A few years ago, I attempted to demonstrate that one could do a decent job of estimating the distribution of runs scored per game by using ...
Thursday, April 13, 2017

Great Moments in CBS Sports Box Scores

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Saturday, April 01, 2017

2017 Predictions

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All the usual disclaimers . This is not serious business. AL EAST 1. Boston 2. Toronto (wildcard) 3. New York 4. Baltimore 5. Tampa ...
Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Win Value of Pitcher Adjusted Run Averages

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The most common class of metrics used in sabermetrics for cross-era comparisons use relative measures of actual or estimated runs per out or...
Monday, February 13, 2017

Rebuilding a Strip Mall

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"Rebuilding", as commonly thrown around in sports discussions, is an interesting term. It inherently implies that something had be...
Thursday, February 09, 2017

Simple Extra Inning Game Length Probabilities

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With the recent news that MLB will be testing starting an extra inning with a runner on second in the low minors, it might be worthwhile to ...
Monday, January 30, 2017

Run Distribution and W%, 2016

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Every year I state that by the time this post rolls around next year, I hope to have a fully functional Enby distribution to allow the metri...
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