Walk Like a Sabermetrician

Occasional commentary on baseball and sabermetrics

Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 4: Revisiting W%

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In my first series about runs per game distributions, I wrote about how to use estimates of the probability of scoring k runs (however these...
Thursday, August 10, 2017

Bottoming Out

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On June 5, OSU Athletic Director Gene Smith unceremoniously fired Thad Matta, the winningest men’s basketball coach in the history of the sc...
Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 3: Enby Distribution Calculator

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At this point, I want to re-explain how to use the Enby distribution, step-by-step. While I already did this in part 6 of the original seri...
Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 2: Revamping the Variance Estimate

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All models are approximations of reality, but some are more useful than others. The notion of being able to estimate the runs per game dist...
Tuesday, May 09, 2017

Enby Distribution, pt. 1: Pioneers

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A few years ago, I attempted to demonstrate that one could do a decent job of estimating the distribution of runs scored per game by using ...
Thursday, April 13, 2017

Great Moments in CBS Sports Box Scores

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Saturday, April 01, 2017

2017 Predictions

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All the usual disclaimers . This is not serious business. AL EAST 1. Boston 2. Toronto (wildcard) 3. New York 4. Baltimore 5. Tampa ...
Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Win Value of Pitcher Adjusted Run Averages

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The most common class of metrics used in sabermetrics for cross-era comparisons use relative measures of actual or estimated runs per out or...
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