Walk Like a Sabermetrician
Occasional commentary on baseball and sabermetrics
Monday, September 30, 2019
Crude Playoff Odds -- 2019
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These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using an equal mix of W%, EW% (based on R/RA), PW% (based on R...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Enby Distribution, pt. 11--Game Expected W%
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This is (finally!) the last post in this series, at least for now. In the Mets essay for the 1986 Baseball Abstract , Bill James focused o...
Wednesday, August 21, 2019
A Most Pyrrhic Victory
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It’s never fun to be in a position where you feel like your team’s short-term success will hamper its long-term prospects. For one, it is in...
Wednesday, May 29, 2019
Enby Distribution, pt. 10: Behavior Near 1 RPG
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Even for this series, this is an esoteric topic, but I wanted to specifically explore how Enby, Cigol, runs per win, Pythagorean exponent, e...
Wednesday, March 27, 2019
2019 Predictions
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This is a blog intended for sabermetrically-inclined readers. I shouldn’t have to spell out a list of caveats about the for entertainment pu...
Saturday, February 09, 2019
Pitching Optional?
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What happens when you take a team that got into the NCAA tournament despite finishing in the middle of the pack in its conference and relyin...
Monday, February 04, 2019
Enby Distribution, pt. 9: Cigol at the Extremes--Pythagenpat Exponent
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In the last installment, I explored using the Cigol dataset to estimate the Pythagorean exponent. Alternatively, we could sidestep the atte...
Saturday, January 19, 2019
Run Distribution and W%, 2018
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I always start this post by looking at team records in blowout and non-blowout games. I define blowouts as games in which the margin of vict...
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