Monday, December 23, 2019

Crude Team Ratings, 2019

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Crude Team Rating (CTR) is my name for a simple methodology of ranking teams based on their win ratio (or estimated win ratio) and their opp...
Friday, December 13, 2019

Hitting by Position, 2019

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The first obvious thing to look at is the positional totals for 2018, with the data coming from Baseball-Reference.com. "MLB” is the ov...
Wednesday, December 04, 2019

Leadoff Hitters, 2019

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In the past I’ve wasted time writing in a structured format, instead of just explaining how the metrics are calculated and noting anything t...
Monday, November 11, 2019

Hypothetical Award Ballots, 2019

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In the past I’ve split these up into three separate posts, but it’s dawned on me that maybe if combined they will be long enough to actually...
Friday, October 04, 2019

End of Season Statistics, 2019

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The spreadsheets are published as Google Spreadsheets, which you can download in Excel format by changing the extension in the address from ...
Monday, September 30, 2019

Crude Playoff Odds -- 2019

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These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using an equal mix of W%, EW% (based on R/RA), PW% (based on R...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Enby Distribution, pt. 11--Game Expected W%

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This is (finally!) the last post in this series, at least for now. In the Mets essay for the 1986 Baseball Abstract , Bill James focused o...
Wednesday, August 21, 2019

A Most Pyrrhic Victory

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It’s never fun to be in a position where you feel like your team’s short-term success will hamper its long-term prospects. For one, it is in...