Wednesday, February 17, 2021

Akousmatikoi Win Estimators, pt. 5: Notes on Linear RPW Estimators

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I had intended the last installment to be the end of this series, but Tom Tango left a comment on pt. 3 that led me down a rabbit hole. It’s...
1 comment:
Wednesday, February 03, 2021

Akousmatikoi Win Estimators, pt. 4: Best Fits and Accuracy

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Herein I’ll be using the expansion era (1961 – 2019) data for all major league teams to calculate the RMSE of the various Akousmatikoi win e...
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Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Akousmatikoi Win Estimators, pt. 3: Differential-Based Simplifications

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Simplifying the Pythagorean estimate by focusing on run differential is not as intuitive as using run ratio, since of course Pythagorean con...
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Wednesday, January 06, 2021

Akousmatikoi Win Estimators, pt. 2: Ratio-Based Simplifications

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We will begin our endeavor to simplify/”flatten” the Pythagenpat exponent by looking at approaches that maintain the use of run ratio as the...
Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Akousmatikoi Win Estimators, pt. 1: Pythagorean

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This series will be a brief review of the Pythagorean methodology for estimating team winning percentage from runs scored and runs allowed, ...
Thursday, December 03, 2020

Palmerian Park Factors

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The first sabermetrician to publish extensive work on park effects was Pete Palmer. His park factors appeared in The Hidden Game of Basebal...
Wednesday, November 04, 2020

Musings on Positional Adjustments

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This is an old post that I never published. It is sort of an attempt to justify why I use offensive positional adjustments, which is an even...
Tuesday, October 20, 2020

End of Season Statistics, 2020

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At first I wasn’t sure if I would go through the trouble of putting together year-end statistics for a 60-game season. This reticence was du...