Tuesday, October 05, 2021

End of Season Statistics, 2021

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While this edition of End of Season Statistics will more closely resemble the reports I published through 2019 than the 2020 edition did, th...
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Monday, October 04, 2021

Crude Playoff Odds--2021

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These are very simple playoff odds, based on my crude rating system for teams using an equal mix of W%, EW% (based on R/RA), PW% (based on R...
Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Rate Stat Series, pt. 13: Relativity for the Linear Weights Framework

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Of the three frameworks for evaluating individual offense, linear weights offers the simplest calculation of runs created or RAA, but will b...
Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Rate Stat Series, pt. 12: Relativity for the Player as a Team Framework

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I have now covered all of the ground I wished to cover regarding the construction of rate stats for various frameworks for evaluating indivi...
Wednesday, September 01, 2021

Rate Stat Series, pt. 11: Rate Stats for the Theoretical Team Framework II

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Once PAR has been incorporated, it should be clear that a different approach will be needed as our run estimate already includes the batter’...
Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Rate Stat Series, pt. 10: Rate Stats for the Theoretical Team Framework I

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In calculating TT_BsR for a batter, we have taken into account both his primary and tertiary impact on the offense, but we have neglected to...
Wednesday, August 04, 2021

Rate Stat Series, pt. 9: Theoretical Teams

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We now depart the orderly, neat world of linear weights for the frontiers of offensive evaluation/rate stat development. Allow me to posit t...